Promo Edge Finder
Upcoming football fixtures where Mozzart's Over 2.5 price is no worse than the market and the "early goal wins" promo adds hidden expected value. Ranked by estimated edge.
| Match | Kickoff | League | Mozzart O2.5 | Market Avg O2.5 | Promo Fair Odds | Estimated Edge ↓ | Confidence | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeria v Austria | Jun 28, 02:00 AM | Svetsko prvenstvo | 2.75 | 2.70 | 1.65 | +66.77% | high | Mozzart price (2.75) is 1.8% above the 9-book market average (2.70), O2.5 is in an acceptable odds band, promo rescue adds ~5.3% hidden win probability, for an estimated +66.8% edge. |
| Paraguay v Australia | Jun 26, 02:00 AM | Svetsko prvenstvo | 3.10 | 2.99 | 2.55 | +21.50% | medium | Mozzart price (3.10) is 3.7% above the 9-book market average (2.99), O2.5 is in an acceptable odds band, promo rescue adds ~8.0% hidden win probability, for an estimated +21.5% edge. |
| Croatia v Ghana | Jun 27, 09:00 PM | Svetsko prvenstvo | 2.24 | 2.25 | 1.88 | +19.39% | high | Mozzart price (2.24) is within 0.3% of the 10-book market average (2.25), O2.5 sits in the ideal 1.85–2.30 odds band, promo rescue adds ~7.4% hidden win probability, for an estimated +19.4% edge. |
| Uruguay v Spain | Jun 27, 12:00 AM | Svetsko prvenstvo | 1.84 | 1.85 | 1.68 | +9.69% | high | Mozzart price (1.84) is within 0.4% of the 10-book market average (1.85), O2.5 is in an acceptable odds band, promo rescue adds ~6.4% hidden win probability, for an estimated +9.7% edge. |
| Egypt v Iran | Jun 27, 03:00 AM | Svetsko prvenstvo | 2.75 | 2.73 | 2.52 | +8.96% | high | Mozzart price (2.75) is 0.6% above the 9-book market average (2.73), O2.5 is in an acceptable odds band, promo rescue adds ~8.0% hidden win probability, for an estimated +9.0% edge. |
| Ecuador v Germany | Jun 25, 08:00 PM | Svetsko prvenstvo | 1.75 | 1.72 | 1.64 | +6.73% | high | Mozzart price (1.75) is 1.6% above the 10-book market average (1.72), O2.5 is in an acceptable odds band, promo rescue adds ~6.2% hidden win probability, for an estimated +6.7% edge. |
| Turkey v USA | Jun 26, 02:00 AM | Svetsko prvenstvo | 1.73 | 1.72 | 1.63 | +6.32% | high | Mozzart price (1.73) is 0.6% above the 9-book market average (1.72), O2.5 is in an acceptable odds band, promo rescue adds ~6.9% hidden win probability, for an estimated +6.3% edge. |
| Colombia v Portugal | Jun 27, 11:30 PM | Svetsko prvenstvo | 2.05 | 2.01 | 1.95 | +5.21% | high | Mozzart price (2.05) is 1.8% above the 9-book market average (2.01), O2.5 sits in the ideal 1.85–2.30 odds band, promo rescue adds ~6.4% hidden win probability, for an estimated +5.2% edge. |
| Jordan v Argentina | Jun 28, 02:00 AM | Svetsko prvenstvo | 1.60 | 1.58 | 1.54 | +3.68% | high | Mozzart price (1.60) is 0.9% above the 10-book market average (1.59), O2.5 is in an acceptable odds band, promo rescue adds ~4.0% hidden win probability, for an estimated +3.7% edge. |
| New Zealand v Belgium | Jun 27, 03:00 AM | Svetsko prvenstvo | 1.45 | 1.42 | 1.41 | +2.77% | high | Mozzart price (1.45) is 1.8% above the 9-book market average (1.42), O2.5 is in a low odds band (limited rescue value), promo rescue adds ~4.0% hidden win probability, for an estimated +2.8% edge. |
| Czech Republic v Mexico | Jun 25, 01:00 AM | Svetsko prvenstvo | 2.00 | 2.01 | 1.97 | +1.50% | high | Mozzart price (2.00) is within 0.6% of the 10-book market average (2.01), O2.5 sits in the ideal 1.85–2.30 odds band, promo rescue adds ~8.0% hidden win probability, for an estimated +1.5% edge. |
| Scotland v Brazil | Jun 24, 10:00 PM | Svetsko prvenstvo | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.79 | +0.46% | high | Mozzart price (1.80) is 1.1% above the 10-book market average (1.78), O2.5 is in an acceptable odds band, promo rescue adds ~6.8% hidden win probability, for an estimated +0.5% edge. |